Russia will receive 90 billion rubles ($948 million) in lump-sum payments to individuals signing military contracts with the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) between 2025 and 2027, according to a report by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW). The plan is to allocate October 5th. The move indicates that the Kremlin intends to continue relying on ongoing cryptocurrency mobilization efforts to meet the manpower needs of the Ukraine war for the foreseeable future, the think tank said.
The government of the Russian Federation is currently offering 400,000 rubles ($4,200) as a lump sum payment for signing military contracts, in addition to payments provided by regional governments. Payments to some regions have recently exceeded 1 million rubles. Based on current rates, this allocation suggests that the Kremlin aims to recruit approximately 225,000 new staff through contract services between 2025 and 2027.
However, ISW notes that these rates are unlikely to be sustainable as they have been steadily increasing since 2022. The significant increase in financial incentives in recent months suggests that existing recruitment efforts are insufficient to maintain the consistent generation of new forces needed to sustain Russia. Ukraine’s offensive tempo.
Russian authorities reportedly expressed concern about the declining results of ongoing recruitment efforts.
ISW notes that “there are medium- and long-term constraints on how many recruits Russia’s ongoing cryptocurrency mobilization campaign can generate, and increased financial incentives are unlikely to significantly address these constraints.” I am evaluating it.
Russian President Vladimir Putin remains committed to an ongoing code mobilization campaign to avoid a new declaration of a widely unpopular partial mobilization of reservists. However, he remains open to the option of reconvening a partial mobilization, as he did in autumn 2022, according to ISW.
“President Putin and the Russian military command appear reluctant to accept a reduction in the intensity of Russian combat operations in Ukraine because they consider it a strategic imperative to maintain theater-wide initiative. “It remains unclear whether President Putin will respond with renewed mobilization if faced with a crisis. Another crisis,” the ISW concluded.
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